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Science Advisory Report 2024/049

NAFO Divisions 2J3KL Northern Cod (Gadus morhua) Stock Assessment to 2024

Context

The Fisheries Management Branch of Fisheries and Oceans Canada (DFO) has requested that the Northwest Atlantic Fisheries Organization (NAFO) Divisions (Div.) 2J3KL Atlantic cod stock (Integrated Fisheries Management Plan; IFMP) be assessed relative to reference points that are consistent with the DFO Precautionary Approach (PA) and that harvest advice be provided for this stock. This Science Advisory Report is from the March 18–21, 2024 regional peer review on the Stock Assessment of Northern Cod in 2J3KL. Additional publications from this meeting will be posted on the Fisheries and Oceans Canada (DFO) Science Advisory Schedule as they become available.

This is the first assessment of this stock to use the updated assessment model and Limit Reference Point (LRP) defined at the October 2023 Framework process (DFO 2024b). The assessment model was extended back to 1954 (previously starting at 1983) through the inclusion of additional data, and the longer-term perspective provided by this model informed a revision of the LRP. While estimates of stock size since 1983 were largely the same, the previous LRP was roughly 40% higher than the current LRP. Following this revision, the stock was determined to be out of the Critical Zone since 2016.

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